Posted on July
10, 2018 by Yves
Smith
Each House shall be the Judge
of the Elections, Returns and Qualifications of its own Members, and a Majority
of each shall constitute a Quorum to do Business
– U.S. Constitution, Article 1, Section 5
– U.S. Constitution, Article 1, Section 5
[Update: Since publishing
this piece, I’m reminded that Alabama Democrat Doug Jones defeated Republican
Roy Moore in a special election earlier this year. My bad for the oversight.
However, this makes the partisan divide even more favorable to the Democrats —
50-49. Fifty senators is not a majority. It would take a truly unusual ruling
by the Parliamentarian to allow the Vice President to help constitute a quorum,
and even if he did so rule, Democrats would then be in position to tie to their
Senate chairs not only all Republican senators, but Vice President Mike Pence
as well. In other words, the Democrats’ hand is even stronger.]
I’m going to expand on this in
a longer piece, but the point is too important not to pass on now. If Democrats
are truly serious about blocking any Trump-nominated Supreme Court justice,
there is a way. But they have to actually want to block the nomination, not
just say they want to.
How To Block the Nomination
This strategy, which I’m
convinced will work, comes via Vox writer Gregory Koger. It goes like this. According to the
Constitution, Article 1, Section 5:
Each House shall be the Judge
of the Elections, Returns and Qualifications of its own Members, and a Majority
of each shall constitute a Quorum to do Business
This means: Neither house of
Congress can do business without a quorum, defined as a simple majority.
What if a majority is not
present? Section 5 continues:
a smaller Number may adjourn
from day to day, and may be authorized to compel the Attendance of absent
Members, in such Manner, and under such Penalties as each House may provide.
This means: If there’s no
majority present, the minority can compel absent members to attend. But how?
Here’s there’s no answer, and in fact nowhere in our government is there a
mechanism but shame for compelling congressional attendance.
This gives Democrats, or
Republicans for that matter, all the power they need, assuming the numbers work
out right.
Now consider the numbers. If
there were 60 Republican senators, Democrats could absent themselves forever
and nothing would change. Sixty senators comprise a quorum.
But look at the current
Senate. There are 46 Democrats, two independents who caucus as Democrats, and
52 Republicans. Yet one of those Republicans, John McCain, may never attend
another Senate session due to his health. That puts the partisan split at
51-48.
As Koger notes, “Other than
quitting for the day or calling for others to come to the chamber, the Senate
can do nothing without a majority of its members — 51 senators — participating
in a vote. No bill can pass, no amendment can be decided on, no nominations can
get approved.”
In other words, every
Republican senator would have to appear for every vote from which Democrats
were wholly absent, or no vote could be taken. Every one of them. Democrats
could simply challenge the vote for lack of a quorum, then leave during the
quorum call.
Shutting Down the Senate
If the plan were for Democrats
to be absent en masse just for the vote on Trump’s Court nomination,
the plan would fail. On the day of the vote, 51 Republican senators would show
up to vote yes and the nomination would be confirmed.
But if Democratic senators
were absent en masse from day one of the decision to do it — if all
48 Democratic and independent senators refused to enter the chamber
for any vote at all — it would paralyze the Senate. Every vote of the
Senate, from the most important to the least, would require every Republican to
be present to ensure passage.
In the ideal world this isn’t
a problem, since there are, just barely, a quorums-worth of Republican
senators. In the real world, however, there is almost never a day in which
every senator is present for a vote. Democrats could even force a quorum call
any time they wanted on a simple procedural vote, forcing Republicans to be
nearby and available at a moment’s notice. When would they fundraise? When
would they meet with lobbyists?
It’s almost certain
Republicans couldn’t conduct Senate business under those conditions. This move
would put Democrats in a position of unblockable power until a future election
changed the numbers. They could force — not ask, but force — the nomination to
wait until after the 2018 election.
All they’d have to do, is want
to.
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