The data "contradicts
both the mainstream narrative and some national polling data that suggest that
only a centrist Democrat could succeed in this political environment."
Individual donors to
Democratic candidates for the party's 2020 presidential nomination
overwhelmingly gave to Sen. Bernie Sanders, according to analyses released
Friday.
The New York Times, in a map
produced by the paper's reporters, found that Sanders, an Independent from
Vermont, dominates most of the country as the primary or secondary recipient of
nearly all donations from Americans in all states—though his support is
strongest in New England, New York, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, the eastern
Great Plains, and the West.
"The movement is so
strong that NYT has to create a separate map that excludes @BernieSanders from
it," tweeted Sanders campaign manager Faiz Shakir.
The L.A. Times went
into further detail in a piece which
allows readers to zero in on their zip codes for hard numbers. The
Wall Street Journal showed who
had the most small dollar donations across the country (unsurprisingly, the
majority of the country went to Sanders in that regard).
And a study from The
Center for Public Integrity and FiveThirtyEight demonstrated that
the senator is the recipient of donations from one out of every three Democrats
donating to primary candidates, irrespective of how many other candidates
they're donating to.
The mappable data from
the Times, said independent researcher Kristin Johnson, whose work on
localized donations helped predict the upset win of Rep. Ayanna Pressley
(D-Mass.) in her 2018 primary against then-incumbent Mike Capuano,
"contradicts both the mainstream narrative and some national polling data
that suggest that only a centrist Democrat could succeed in this political
environment."
"Sanders clearly has an
advantage from the supporter database and name recognition he amassed during
his 2016 presidential campaign," added Johnson.
Progressives immediately
pounced on the Times report as an indication of the strength of
Sanders' support.
"Total number of donors
would seem to me to be the most relevant (and least classist) way of gauging
enthusiasm, rather than the cash totals CNN et al gush over every
quarter," said journalist
Adam Johnson.
Sanders' donor advantage was
so overwhelming in the Times data that the paper "had to make
two maps—one excluding Bernie Sanders—because Bernie had too many donors
to show other candidates donation patterns," as Greenpeace International's
Matt Browner Hamlin pointed out on Twitter.
The breadth of Sanders'
appeal, especially through the middle of the country, spurred the senator's
Iowa communications director to challenge the conventional wisdom that
"the Midwest doesn't want or support progressive policies."
The report also showed
strength for Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) across the country, though not as
robust as that for Sanders.
Of other Democrats, South
Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg, a relative political unknown before this
year's breakout presidential run, former Vice President Joe Biden, and Sen.
Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) all dominated the country's wealthier hotspots. Former
Rep. Beto O'Rourke dominated Texas and Sen. Amy Klobuchar her native
Minnesota.
Sanders' strength may be even
greater than the maps show, however, as the Times admitted that
"information about donors giving $200 or less directly to a campaign is
not available."
The senator is raking it in
from a plurality of Democrats contributing to campaigns, according to a study
by The Center for Public Integrity and FiveThirtyEight:
Nearly one out of every three
donors who have given to any presidential campaign have donated to Sen. Bernie
Sanders, a Vermont Democrat who has by far the largest number of donors of any
of the Democratic candidates. (That doesn't mean they gave exclusively to
Sanders — many people have given money to multiple Democratic
candidates.)
The study also found that
"Democrats are far from wearing their donors out" and have more to
give.
"At least 2.4 million
people have together pumped about $209 million into the campaigns of major
Democratic presidential contenders during the first half of 2019," the
report said.
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