NOV 11, 2019
truthdig.com/articles/bernie-sanders-has-more-diverse-support-than-you-think/
Suburban women, as Nicole
Goodkind writes in Fortune,
“[were] crucial to President Donald Trump’s election in 2016 and will be
equally crucial to his reelection campaign next year.” Recent polling and
actual election results, however, show Trump cannot take them for granted, and
the same can be said for more centrist Democrats.
Goodkind is referring to data
released from the Federal Election Commission and analyzed by the Center
for Responsive Politics that reveals women are getting involved in
elections earlier than in previous cycles. Fortune reports, “More than 1
million [women] have already donated $131 million itemized to presidential
candidates.”
And while there’s no one
candidate that’s won the hearts and minds of all women voters, it’s Bernie
Sanders who has made the most progress.
“Of all the potential 2020
candidates,” Goodkind writes, “Sanders has taken in the most money from women,
raising about $17.1 million in itemized contributions, or 40% of his total
funds.”
Many of those women are from
the suburbs, the same ones Trump needs to win. Sanders received “over $13
million in small-dollar donations from nearly 280,000 suburban women. Combining
small- and large-dollar donations, Sanders earned more than any other presidential
candidate amongst suburban women with a total of $15 million from small and
large donors alike.”
These numbers challenge the
prevailing wisdom that Democrats must be aggressively moderate to win
elections, a position that gained traction last week following Democratic
state-level wins in Kentucky,
Virginia and Pennsylvania. Sen. Mark Warner, D-Va., told The Hill on Friday
that candidates in his state won because they “ran on more moderate issues.”
He added that candidates “had
very much followed in the traditional Virginia Democratic model of we’re going
to give you responsible government, it’s going to be fiscally responsible.”
“I happen to believe that
America is a center-right country and that people want us to work across the
aisle, and what they’re most interested in is problem solving rather than
rhetoric,” Sen. Dianne Feinstein, D-Calif., who endorsed Joe Biden, explained
to The Hill.
Brad Bannon, a Democratic
strategist and consultant, isn’t so sure. “This is bad news for Biden, it shows
he’s got a problem with the female vote,” he told Fortune, regarding the new
data about suburban women. “And when you look at the polls, women are
significantly more likely to be voting for [Sen. Elizabeth] Warren or Sanders
than Biden.”
Suburban women aren’t the only
counterintuitive demographic for a candidate whose supporters are often
referred to as “Bernie Bros”
and assumed to be young, leftist white men. In addition to Fortune’s reporting,
Foreign Policy examined political
contributions from U.S. national security agency staff, also using
data from the Center for Responsive Politics. Per Foreign Policy:
When combining contribution
amounts together, Sanders is the biggest beneficiary of national security
support, followed by [Mayor Pete] Buttigieg and Warren. Democratic front-runner
Biden and President Donald Trump trail behind those candidates, ranking no
higher than third for any one department.
When broken down by sector of
government, Buttigieg had the highest support from the State Department and
Sanders from the military.
Sanders, The New York Times
reported this weekend, “has collected more
money from Latino voters than any other candidate in the Democratic
field, raising three times as much from the group as Barack Obama did in 2008.”
According to a set of new
surveys from The New York Times and Siena College, the Vermont senator is
attracting “28% of
the Democratic primary vote in six swing states.”
In another poll from a crucial
state, California, conducted by the Public
Policy Institute of California, 39% of Latinos in California said they
prefer Sanders, compared to 21% for Biden and 5% for Warren.
Anthony Mercado, a 48-year-old
maintenance worker, explained Sanders’ appeal to Latinos to The
New York Times: “We’re a community of struggle, and this is a man who knows
struggle.. .. Latinos have been promised things and then the winds change. But
he’s been saying the same things ever since he started.”
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