July 30, 2017, by Paul Brown
Oil and gas shares offer
diminishing returns, and more investors will spurn fossil fuels, though finding
a new home for their money is not easy.
LONDON, 30 July, 2017 – Shares
in major oil and gas companies are expected to plunge in value in the next
three to five years because of climate change-related financial risks, meaning
more investors will spurn fossil fuels. This is the verdict of British asset
managers who control billions of pounds of investments in stock markets.
It could have serious
consequences for many thousands of people whose pension funds have invested in
these companies, as well as many institutions and charities which rely on
dividends for their income, according
to a report by the Climate
Change Collaboration (CCC), a group of four UK charitable trusts.
They compiled the report from
a survey of thirteen of the world’s largest asset managers, who were asked what
effect climate change would have on fossil fuel stocks and what alternative
investments were available for customers who wanted to avoid them.
The Collaboration is running a
campaign to try to get individuals and large institutions like universities and
local authorities to divest from the fossil fuel industry because of the damage
oil majors are doing to the climate.
Gauging effect
It carried out the survey to
see what effect the campaign is having on the people managing the largest
amounts of money invested in the sector.
In order to gauge whether
investors had got the message, fund managers were asked whether their
clients had asked about fossil fuel-free investments. Every manager replied that
many of their clients had mentioned the issue, and many were concerned about
it.
Among the risks identified as
likely to depress fossil fuel shares were:
government regulation which
affected businesses;
the risk of litigation from
environment groups;
the stigma of being associated
with fossil fuels; and
the fear of stranded assets,
oil and gas that has to be left in the ground to avoid worsening climate
change.
Of these risks, government
regulation was seen as the greatest, with 77% of fund managers saying it would
hit the price of shares within five years.
The Collaboration is closely
involved in DivestInvest, a campaign to
get investors to exclude fossil fuels from their share portfolios and instead
invest in renewables, energy and water efficiency. So far 700 organisations
with $5.5 trillion invested have joined the movement, and have already either
moved their money or adopted a policy to do so.
One of the problems they face,
however, is that there are not enough share portfolios being offered that are
fossil fuel-free. The investment managers surveyed said that as a result they
were under pressure from clients to include a fossil-free option among their
funds, and some were preparing to offer more of these.
The report concludes: “The
revelatory finding of this survey is that most of the asset managers consider
that climate change-related financial risks will significantly impact the
valuations of oil and gas majors in a very short timeframe.
“This is an immediate and a
significant risk for investors invested in passive funds – including
pension savers and many charities, including universities.
“There is an urgent need for
new passive investment products that manage the climate change-related
financial risks associated with fossil fuels and provide income and capital
growth for investors as we transition to a zero-carbon economy.”
– Climate News Network
No comments:
Post a Comment