Thursday, September 12, 2019

Trump grew weary of Bolton’s push for military force against Venezuela



Michael Wilner. Miami Herald. September 11, 2019

President Donald Trump ousted John Bolton in part due to frustration with his third national security adviser’s guidance to pair military power with economic pressure against Venezuela, according to current and former administration officials.

One senior administration official said that Trump had grown weary of repeated vows from Bolton that Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro would be out of office in short order. A second official said that they had clashed over Bolton’s efforts to advance planning for military intervention.

That official pointed to the administration’s national security strategy, which predated Bolton’s tenure and called for “strong diplomatic engagement” to isolate rogue nations in the Western Hemisphere. “That has been and remains the policy,” the official told McClatchy, although officials across the administration insist that all options are on the table.

Bolton left the White House on Tuesday over several bitter disputes with the president and Cabinet members.

“I disagreed with John Bolton on his attitudes on Venezuela – I thought he was way out of line,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office.

Bolton raised the potential of military force on several occasions, including in January by walking into the White House press briefing room sporting a pad with a note reading, “5,000 troops to Colombia,” revealing private deliberations.

Before Bolton joined the administration, Trump had received guidance that portrayed military intervention in Venezuela as a massive undertaking. Hundreds of thousands of troops would be required for an invasion – more than were sent into Iraq in 2003 – and more modest military options, such as a blockade, would still amount to a sizeable war effort.

Trump eventually drew a line that Bolton would not readily accept.

“Every time [Bolton] brought up the potential of invasion, and potential use of the military, the president got frustrated and apparently grew tired of it,” one former Trump administration official said.

Some National Security Council aides and opposition figures loyal to Venezuelan National Assembly President Juan Guaidó are concerned that Trump could have an exchange with Maduro at the U.N. General Assembly in New York later this month that could confuse U.S. policy. The United States and over 50 other countries have recognized Guaidó as Venezuela’s interim president.

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who remains in the president’s good graces, has also advocated a tough line on Venezuela and is pioneering a strategy endorsed by Trump to negotiate Maduro’s exit with top Venezuelan government aides.

Bolton’s departure comes amid U.S. concerns that the embattled Venezuelan leader might be preparing to use force against Colombia.

Maduro called the neighboring country a “warmongering threat” in a televised statement this week, huddled with defense officials and reportedly directed a military buildup at the border.

In a statement on Wednesday, Pompeo said the United States was invoking a decades-old treaty of reciprocal assistance with ten other countries in the Western Hemisphere that states an attack on one is an attack on all. He called Maduro’s reign “increasingly destabilizing” to the region.

And while the administration’s special representative on Venezuela policy, Elliott Abrams, said on Tuesday that the United States was “not closer” to a military confrontation with Caracas, he nevertheless is “worried” about the Venezuelan military maneuvers.

The U.S. decision to invoke the 1947 agreement, formally titled the Inter-American Treaty of Reciprocal Assistance, suggests that military force might not be off the table.

“Recent bellicose moves by the Venezuelan military to deploy along the border with Colombia as well as the presence of illegal armed groups and terrorist organizations in Venezuelan territory demonstrate that Nicolas Maduro not only poses a threat to the Venezuelan people, his actions threaten the peace and security of Venezuela’s neighbors,” Pompeo said.

“Nicolás Maduro is not only the cause of the suffering of the Venezuelan people, he is threatening the peace and stability of the region,” he added.





The USA is no friend of Hong Kong







Daniel Morley

12 September 2019






The Sunday 8 September protest threatens to lead the movement in Hong Kong in a reactionary, openly pro-US imperialist direction. This is extremely dangerous for the movement and must be firmly and unequivocally rejected.
The march went to the US consulate in Hong Kong and was strewn with US flags. Some posed outside the consulate draped in the flags of the G7 countries, begging for their ‘humanitarian’ assistance.
The leaders then posed for photographs with a large banner which read “President Trump, please liberate Hong Kong.” In the pictures, you can see that this was all organised by Hong Kong Autonomy Movement: a coalition of anti-Chinese bourgeois liberal and right-wing figures. It is a funny kind of autonomy proposed when you must prostrate yourself before a foreign power to secure it!
A criminal strategy
The strategy of this group (which, as many have pointed out, is strongly associated with the reactionary bourgeois coalition “Hong Kong Autonomy Movement”) is to utilise the interests of American imperialism to undermine China and get what they want. Many on the right wing of the movement in Hong Kong already have ties to US imperialism through the National Endowment for Democracy, a CIA front which has openly spent $29m in Hong Kong since 2014.
The right wing of the movement in Hong Kong has latched onto the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act currently making its way through the US Congress. This act was introduced by arch-imperialist Republican Marco Rubio and his Democratic counterpart Ben Cardin, and threatens to revoke Hong Kong’s special status, which allows it to import advanced technology from the US and to avoid other trade barriers that China must endure. The thinking is simple: if they can encourage this law to be passed, China will suddenly grant Hong Kongers everything they ask for to avoid barriers to trade with the US.
There is a rather obvious flaw in this strategy: China is currently embroiled in a trade war with the US, and is digging its heels in. Although it does fear the economic repercussions, it sees no alternative, and knows that being able to blame the US washes well with the Chinese working class, who understand quite well what US imperialism is really about.
This strategy is absolutely criminal and Hong Kongers fighting for democratic rights must strongly reject it and all those who preach it. Trump is no friend of the Hong Kong masses – indeed he has already written off the protests as riots.

The idea that the United States is a friend of democracy is preposterous. Everywhere Washington has intervened, it has done so to advance and protect the imperialist interests of US big businesses. This was the case in Chile in 1973, in the Iraq war, in the Honduras coup of 2009 and in the more recent attempts at regime change in Venezuela, just to give a few examples.
The US has no qualms about doing business with the reactionary, undemocratic Saudi regime, which is carrying out a murderous war in Yemen, as long as the relationship is beneficial to the interests of US imperialism (through oil and weapons contracts, influence and regional power).
More importantly, Hong Kong’s problems are far deeper than those of a dictatorial regime. As we have always pointed out, it is one of the most unequal places in the world, housing is many times more expensive (both in absolute terms and in relation to wages) than even in London and New York, and the quality is extremely low as well. Working hours are obscenely long, as they must be for workers to afford the boxes in which they live.
To think that Donald Trump and Wall Street have the answers to these problems is madness. Should Hong Kong somehow gain autonomy from China on a capitalist basis (which will not happen), US imperialism will do nothing to address the crying injustices inflicted upon Hong Kong workers each day.
This liberal, pro-US strategy plays right into Xi Jinping’s hands, because it serves to isolate the Hong Kong workers from their only real allies – the workers of mainland China, who suffer not only the same political regime but the same social crisis of rampant inequality and exploitation. But mainland workers will not be inclined to spread the struggle against Beijing’s regime throughout China after seeing the appeals to Donald Trump and the anti-Chinese propaganda.
Leadership lacking – class struggle needed!
Throughout the 14 weeks of this movement, the Hong Kong masses have shown tremendous bravery and determination. They have put their lives on the line to fight an extremely powerful regime for democratic rights. But throughout this movement they have suffered from an absence of clear leadership capable of taking the movement forward.
The self-appointed leaders or figureheads of the movement, like Joshua Wong, are bourgeois liberals of the worst kind. Their whole approach, in tactics, strategy and politics, is counter-productive. Wong is currently in Germany trying to get the support of European imperialist powers. In an open letter to Merkel, he has revealed the real content of his policies.
“We urge the free world to stand together with us,'' he says, comparing the situation in Hong Kong with that of Berlin during the Cold War. The “free world” he is appealing to is, of course, led by the same imperialist powers that oppressed the colonial peoples’ historically, in the most brutal way – including China – and which now prop up all sorts of dictators in Third World countries, as long as they are on their side. The next stop in Wong’s tour is the United States itself, where he will lobby imperialist politicians to “liberate Hong Kong”.

This has led to an atmosphere of despair and desperation. People feel that their way of life, and the city that they know, is on the verge of being extinguished. Therefore, they are prepared to fight ferociously. But with no clear programme of action, no coherent alternative, no answer for how the people of Hong Kong can actually end Beijing’s dictatorship, they are beginning to despair.
This is compounded by the inadequacy of the Civil Human Rights Front; key organiser Jimmy Sham Tsz Kit being a member of the League of Social Democrats; and the Hong Kong Confederation of Trade Union (HKCTU)’s timid methods towards the bosses. Their repeated urge for workers to go on “strike” with the permission of their employers – as well as continually bungling their efforts to organise “general strikes” – is making mockery of the strategy of industrial action before the eyes of many who have never been exposed to class struggle methods.
Therefore, a section of the protesters are losing faith in strikes and are turning towards reactionary methods, such as appealing to the US Congress and Trump, which appears to them as expedient. This led to the large turnout at Sunday’s rally in front of the consulate, which organisers claimed to have been 250,000 (probably an exaggeration). Back in 26 June, only around 1,500 people went around foreign consulates in Hong Kong and begged for western intervention.
This is gradually causing the movement to enter a decline, for now at least. As this happens, the well-funded, right-wing fringe of the movement can begin to take more of a centre stage and speak in the name of the entire movement. Their strategy of appeals to imperialism will alienate the movement’s left wing, and close off any chance of solidarity from the mainland. As the movement finally fizzles out, the regime will then take the opportunity to repress all the key individuals and organisations, especially on the left.
The only way out of this perspective is with the methods of class struggle and the programme of socialism: by mobilising the youth and the working class around a programme of, not just democratic rights, but social rights. These should include a mass social housing plan, nationalisation of the property of Hong Kong’s super rich, and an internationalist appeal to the workers of the mainland to join in a common struggle against the bosses and all the ills of capitalism.





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