Sunday, September 10, 2017

Bernie Savages Hillary’s Blame Game: ‘Does Anybody Really Believe That'










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Stop Being Afraid Of "Big Government"







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Trump's day as a Democratic president enraged Republicans – but peril for Dems too


















An Oval Office decision to side with the opposition in order to strike Trump’s first legislative deal has bewildered and alienated those in his own party




Saturday 9 September 2017 08.18 EDT











The art of the steal? Donald Trump with Mitch McConnell, Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi.



It was time to deal. Donald Trump and Mike Pence sat before the fireplace in the Oval Office. On a sofa to their left were Mitch McConnell, Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi. On a sofa to their right, Paul Ryan, Steven Mnuchin and Kevin McCarthy, with Trump’s budget hawk Mick Mulvaney in a lone chair behind. Watching the tableau were the busts of Sir Winston Churchill and Martin Luther King.

There would also be an early afternoon cameo from Trump’s daughter Ivanka, dropping in to “say hello”, according to a Democratic aide. “The meeting careened off topic. Republican leaders were visibly annoyed by Ivanka’s presence.”

But that would soon be the least of their worries. The president would eventually side with the Democrats against his own party, striking his first legislative deal and once again shaking the kaleidoscope of Washington. Congressional Republicans reeled, some with fury, while Democrats weighed the risks of a dance with the devil.

The Republican congressional leaders, Ryan, McConnell and McCarthy, had entered the White House just before noon on Wednesday with an agreed plan. With fiscal deadlines approaching to raise the debt limit and pass a spending bill, and with an urgent need to dispatch emergency funding to deal with the devastation caused by Hurricane Harvey, they would tie the debt limit to the $7.8bn of initial disaster relief requested by the president.

The House of Representatives had overwhelmingly approved the standalone Harvey funding as Republican leaders arrived at the White House. Senate Republicans were poised to attach an 18-month debt limit hike to the bill, thus ridding themselves of the debt ceiling issue until after the 2018 midterm elections, before kicking the bill back to the House.

But Democrats Schumer and Pelosi had begun floating a proposal of their own to instead advance a three-month debt limit extension, an idea that Ryan blasted as “ridiculous” and “disgraceful” hours before he sat alongside the other leaders in the Oval Office. Republicans also had the backing of treasury secretary Mnuchin.

As Democrats held firm on a three-month extension, Republican leaders signalled some room to negotiate. They put forward a 12-month extension, even caving at one point to six months, as Trump mostly looked on and listened.

A source briefed on the meeting said “basically everyone with an R behind their name” insisted on a longer term extension, resulting in a standstill and congressional leaders concluding they would “agree to disagree”.

As Mnuchin sought to make the case once more to Trump, the president unexpectedly cut off the treasury secretary and went with Schumer and Pelosi. “Everybody was happy,” he claimed, having overruled and humiliated Ryan and McConnell in front of their political foes.

Later Trump referred to them as “Chuck and Nancy”, and even acceded to Pelosi’s request to tweet a message of reassurance to “Dreamers” that they will not be deported in the next six months. The House minority leader Pelosi said: “This is what I asked the president to do and, boom boom boom, the tweet appeared.”

Meanwhile Trump flew to North Dakota on Air Force One with senator Heidi Heitkamp, a Democrat facing a tough re-election battle in 2018. At an event to promote tax reform, he even invited her on stage, announcing that he wants to work with her on the issue and describing her as “a good woman”.

The spirit of bipartisanship was as sudden as it was bewildering.

The most lurid reaction reportedly came from an unnamed Republican, who said of Trump: “He fucked us.”

Other Republicans went public with their disdain, dubbing the agreement the “Pelosi-Trump-Schumer-deal – PTSD”.

Michael Steel, who served as an aide to former House speaker John Boehner, said: “Senator Schumer and Representative Pelosi walked in holding a pair of deuces and the president handed them a jackpot.

“I don’t know whether the president wanted to make a deal of some sort and he didn’t really care about the details, I don’t know whether he understood how much leverage he was giving away, I don’t know if he was simply frustrated at congressional Republican leaders.”

For Republicans seeking to make headway on tax reform, and still eyeing ways to dismantle Barack Obama’s healthcare law, it was yet another reminder that they could not count on Trump’s support.

“The president is unique in American history,” Steel added. “He seems to pride himself on unpredictability and unreliability. I think it makes it harder to build a foundation of trust to work together on big issues.”

There were push and pull factors behind Trump’s thinking this time. On the push side, the sheer delight of putting a cat among the pigeons, along with a history with Schumer in particular: Trump has reportedly donated around $9,000 to his fellow New Yorker over the years and once claimed, “I was close to Schumer in many ways”. Pelosi told a press conference afterwards that Schumer “could speak New York to the president”.

This interpretation was echoed by Michael Steele, former chairman of the Republican national committee. “You had a moment where you had two New Yorkers who are enjoying the opportunity,” he said. “If you look at Trump’s face and Schumer’s face, they are much more on the same page than Trump was on the same page as Ryan or McConnell.”

Then there was the pull factor of giving Ryan, and especially McConnell, a bloody nose after a series of perceived slights and their failure to pass healthcare legislation this year. Steele said: “This was his way of reminding them he didn’t like what they did in August. All roads don’t lead through the Republican caucus for this president.”

Budget director Mulvaney effectively confirmed this in an interview on the Fox Business Network. Asked if the president was annoyed with the Republican leadership, he said: “He probably is. And believe me, as a Republican, so am I. As a citizen, I am too. I was promised that they would have repealed and replaced Obamacare by now.”

The relationship has been in freefall for months. After all, Trump was a long-time Democrat who lived most of his life in New York City, a stronghold for the party, and ran against Republicans as a shape-shifting outsider and opportunist. Along with his primary rival senator Ted Cruz, Steele predicted then that Trump would reach a point where he concluded that he could not work with Republicans and seek to cut deals with Pelosi and Schumer instead. He said: “Trump is agnostic on all the things important to Republicans. It boggles the mind that Republican leadership think they can change him to a Republican.”

Relations between Trump, McConnell and Ryan are unlikely to improve much, Steele added. “Everyone can get to a point where they accommodate each other. You don’t recover from this. You get to a position where you agree not to talk about it but it doesn’t heal.”

But the president will expect something in return from Wednesday’s agreement, he believes. “Democrats are in just as much of a pickle as Republicans as to what they stand for. That’s why this was an easy deal for him to cut. If he is careful and calculating, he can probably get Democrats on board for things they wouldn’t otherwise get on board for. There will be a price to pay because there always is.”

Indeed, as Democratic leaders basked in the headlines of how they crafted what one Republican senator dubbed “the art of the steal”, some of their members were left unimpressed.

Luis Gutierrez, a congressman from Illinois, said Trump was a “serial liar” and warned Democrats against taking him at his word. “The Democratic caucus is not in sync with making this agreement with the president of the United States of America,” Gutierrez told MSNBC host Chris Hayes.

Gutierrez voiced particular frustration at Democratic leaders for not using their leverage in the meeting with Trump to force an immediate vote to grant legal status to young, undocumented immigrants left hanging in the balance by Trump’s decision to rescind Obama’s Deferred Actions for Childhood Arrivals (Daca) policy.

“Remember the Democratic Party has to stand for something,” Gutierrez said, while highlighting Microsoft president Brad Smith’s vow to protect Daca recipients from the Trump administration. “It’s a sad day for the Democratic Party in this nation when the CEO of a multinational corporation is standing firmer with the Dreamers than our own Democratic caucus.”

For Democrats, working with Trump poses a unique dilemma. At the start of his presidency, Democrats were conciliatory over the prospect of a massive infrastructure bill and potential comprises over paid maternity leave, child tax credits, and restructuring certain trade agreements. But the tone was set at the conclusion of Trump’s very first week in office, when he signed a travel ban barring entry to immigrants from seven Muslim-majority countries and suspending the entire US refugee programme.

Since then Democrats have openly questioned his fitness for the office and suggested he is guilty of impeachable offenses over his conduct around the Russia investigation. Last month, when Trump drew moral equivalence between white supremacists with leftwing protesters in Charlottesville, Virginia, a group of House Democrats pushed for a resolution to formally censure the president.

Jim Manley, a 21-year veteran of the US Senate, said Democrats should tread cautiously after branding Trump as “radioactive”.

“Trump’s so unpredictable that any Democrat has to be very careful,” he said. “Where he is one day doesn’t mean that’s where he is the next day. Hope springs eternal, but I for one don’t believe that there’s a new era of deal-making in the Senate.”

Pointing out that Republicans still control both chambers of Congress, Manley said it remained unlikely that Democrats could exert much influence on issues like tax reform. If this week underscored anything, he added, it was Trump’s utter disregard for the Republicans who helped elect him and who have loyally defended him often at the expense of their own reputations.

“They’ve allowed this president to degrade their party, the party of Lincoln, and now they’re paying the price for it,” Manley said. “Karma can be a real pain in the ass.”

The agreement – passed by the House on Friday despite 90 “no” votes from Republicans – sets the stage for a major showdown in December when the debt ceiling would be reached and government funding would expire.

Trump is reportedly having conversations with Democrats about the possibility of permanently ending the need for Congress to authorize increases to the debt ceiling, which is the authorisation for the federal government to borrow money up to a certain limit. Again, Ryan opposes such a move. More generally, there is widespread doubt about the prospects for Bill Clinton-style triangulation.

Rory Cooper, a Republican strategist and former aide to ex-House majority leader Eric Cantor, said: “Calling the Trump-Schumer-Pelosi agreement a deal infers [sic] that both sides got something, when in fact Trump ceded to every Democratic demand within 30 seconds of opening a negotiation. He got nothing but a very tough December with less leverage and fewer Republican allies.

“Trump may have caved into Schumer and Pelosi to try to regain some popularity in the middle but it will never work. Democratic voters view themselves as the resistance, so no amount of appeasement will ever make up for any losses he takes with the right or centre right.”

Charlie Sykes, a conservative author and broadcaster who has known Ryan since he was first elected to the House in 1998, suggested that Trump rarely displays long-term strategy. “It’s probably less complicated than it looks. It’s less a pivot than an impulse on his part. It gives him a win, so what’s not to like, but I’m not sure he’d thought through the implications for December.

“Politics is about alliances and trust. If Wednesday was not a divorce, it was a trial separation. It’s like a very unhappy couple who might stay together for the sake of the children. This is is another low point and it’s hard to imagine it getting much better.”



Additional reporting by Ben Jacobs





















Al Jazeera -- Live






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Explosion Power Comparison







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Hurricane Size Comparison






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Hurricane Irma Churns Toward Florida













By CAMILLA SCHICK, ROBIN LINDSAY and CHRIS CIRILLO

















     

Hurricane Irma churned toward Florida on Saturday, leaving a trail of death and destruction across the Caribbean and prompting officials to direct 6.5 million Florida residents to leave their homes in one of the largest emergency evacuations in American history.

On Saturday evening, Gov. Rick Scott of Florida warned that the state could get as much as 18 inches of rain, with the Florida Keys getting up to 25 inches.

Southwest Florida could see a storm surge of 15 feet above ground level, and entire neighborhoods stretching northward from Naples to Tampa Bay could be submerged.

“If you have been ordered to evacuate, you need to leave now,” Mr. Scott said at a 6 p.m. news conference. “This is your last chance to make a good decision.”

The National Hurricane Center said on Saturday evening that the eye of Irma was beginning to slowly move away from the coast of Cuba as it headed northwest toward Florida.

As of 5 p.m. Saturday, the center said the core of Irma would reach the Florida Keys on Sunday, with “major hurricane force winds” expected at daybreak. By Saturday night, parts of Florida were feeling the early effects of Irma.

The westward track, which was a change from earlier expectations, left some residents and officials scrambling to find shelter.

Irma made landfall in Cuba on Friday evening as a Category 5 hurricane, lashing the island’s northern coast with a direct hit. It became the first Category 5 hurricane to make landfall in Cuba since 1924.

The hurricane was downgraded to Category 3 on Saturday but still had winds of 125 miles per hour, the center said. It was expected to strengthen before making landfall in Florida.

Here’s the latest:

• At least 25 people were confirmed dead in areas affected by the storm.

• In addition to an evacuation order in Miami, one of the country’s largest evacuations, 540,000 people were told to leave the Georgia coast. Alabama, North Carolina and South Carolina have declared states of emergency.

• At 1 p.m., the National Hurricane Center said a weather station in Ciego de Ávila, Cuba, reported a wind gust to 159 m.p.h.

• Mr. Scott said more than 385 shelters were open in Florida and more would open on Saturday night. More than 76,000 people were without electricity, he said.

• Hurricane Jose was passing farther north of the Leeward Islands than initially predicted, and St. Martin and St. Bart’s have downgraded hurricane warnings to tropical storm warnings. Check out our maps tracking the storm.

• Hurricane Katia, which made landfall on Mexico’s eastern coast, was downgraded to a tropical depression, with winds of 35 m.p.h. Two people died in a mudslide in the state of Veracruz after the storm hit, The Associated Press reported.

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Residents and officials scramble for shelters

The storm’s sudden drive to the west prompted last-minute orders for evacuation in Collier and Lee Counties in Florida, leaving little time for residents to pack up and find shelter.

“We thought we were safe,” said a spokeswoman for Collier County who declined to give her name because she was not authorized to discuss the situation. “We thought we were safe like 36 hours ago.”

The spokeswoman said that a forecast at 5 p.m. on Thursday caused county officials to react, readying shelters and helping residents seeking to evacuate.

Starting on Saturday morning, lines that were several blocks long formed outside of shelters such as the Germain Arena, as residents jammed inside.

In Fort Myers, which is in Lee County, buses that were transporting people to shelters stopped running at 3 p.m. to allow the drivers to seek safety, potentially leaving people who had not left their homes in time.

By late Saturday afternoon, all of the shelters in Collier County were at capacity, according to local news reports. Because of the imminent storm surge, officials told people living in one-story homes to try to enter shelters anyway, and people in two-story homes to seek shelter upstairs.

In Miami-Dade County, some people who had flocked to shelters were reassessing their situation on Saturday afternoon after learning that the brunt of the hurricane would most likely be felt farther west.

“We’re going home,” Virginia Lopez, an administrative assistant at Barry University, said as she loaded her 5-year-old poodle mix, Princess, into her Mazda outside a shelter at Highland Oaks Middle School after spending the night there with her daughter and son-in-law. “We decided half an hour ago. The storm has moved to Tampa, so we’re going to get a lot of rain but it won’t be as bad. I don’t feel so scared.”

Inside, dozens of people lay on cots and blankets in the building’s hallways amid a stench of perspiration and vomit. Some were packing to leave but most seemed resigned to remaining until the storm blows through.

Florida gets an early feel for what’s to come

As Hurricane Irma steered its way toward the Florida Keys on Saturday night, Florida began to feel its approach. The ocean began rising in Key West, spilling into hotel parking lots and roads. In the Keys to the north, water levels toppled over the banks of canals.

In Miami-Dade, tree branches tumbled and fast-moving bands of powerful rain and wind occasionally made it hard to walk. Orange County issued a mandatory evacuation for all mobile homes.

[…]