The Green
New Deal resolution that was introduced into the U.S. House of
Representatives in February hit a wall in the Senate, where it was called
unrealistic and unaffordable. In a Washington Post article titled “The
Green New Deal Sets Us Up for Failure. We Need a Better Approach,” former
Colorado governor and Democratic presidential candidate John Hickenlooper
framed the problem like this:
The resolution sets
unachievable goals. We do not yet have the technology needed to reach “net-zero
greenhouse gas emissions” in 10 years. That’s why many wind and solar
companies don’t support it. There is no clean substitute for jet fuel.
Electric vehicles are growing quickly, yet are still in their infancy.
Manufacturing industries such as steel and chemicals, which account for almost
as much carbon emissions as transportation, are even harder to
decarbonize.
Amid this technological
innovation, we need to ensure that energy is not only clean but also
affordable. Millions of Americans struggle with “energy poverty.” Too often,
low-income Americans must choose between paying for medicine and having their
heat shut off. …
If climate change policy
becomes synonymous in the U.S. psyche with higher utility bills, rising taxes
and lost jobs, we will have missed our shot. …
The problem may be that a transition
to 100% renewables is the wrong target. Reversing climate change need not mean
emptying our pockets and tightening our belts. It is possible to sequester
carbon and restore our collapsing ecosystem using the financial resources we
already have, and it can be done while at the same time improving the quality
of our food, water, air and general health.
The Larger Problem – and the
Solution – Is in the Soil
Contrary to popular belief,
the biggest environmental polluters are not big fossil fuel companies. They are
big agribusiness and factory farming, with six
powerful food industry giants – Archer Daniels Midland, Cargill, Dean
Foods, Dow AgroSciences, Tyson and Monsanto (now merged with Bayer) – playing a
major role. Oil-dependent farming, industrial livestock operations, the
clearing of carbon-storing fields and forests, the use of chemical fertilizers
and pesticides, and the combustion of fuel to process and distribute food are
estimated to be responsible for as
much as one-half of human-caused pollution. Climate change, while partly
a consequence of the excessive relocation of carbon and other elements from the
earth into the atmosphere, is more fundamentally just one symptom of overall
ecosystem distress from centuries of over-tilling, over-grazing, over-burning,
over-hunting, over-fishing and deforestation.
Big Ag’s toxin-laden,
nutrient-poor food is also a major contributor to the U.S. obesity epidemic and
many other diseases. Yet these are the
industries getting the largest subsidies from U.S. taxpayers, to the
tune of more than $20 billion
annually. We don’t hear about this for the same reason that they get the
subsidies – they have massively
funded lobbies capable of bribing their way into special treatment.
The story we do hear, as Judith
Schwartz observes in The
Guardian, is, “Climate change is global warming caused by too much CO2 in
the atmosphere due to the burning of fossil fuels. We stop climate change by
making the transition to renewable energy.” Schwartz does not discount
this part of the story but points to several problems with it:
One is the uncomfortable fact
that even if, by some miracle, we could immediately cut emissions to zero, due
to inertia in the system it would take more than a century for CO2 levels
to drop to 350 parts per million, which is considered the safe threshold.
Plus, here’s what we don’t talk about when we talk about climate: we can all go
solar and drive electric cars and still have the problems – the unprecedented
heat waves, the wacky weather – that we now associate with CO2-driven climate
change.
But that hasn’t stopped
investors, who see the climate crisis as simply another profit opportunity.
According to a study by Morgan Stanley analysts reported
in Forbes in
October, halting global warming and reducing net carbon emissions to zero would
take an investment of $50 trillion over the next three decades, including $14
trillion for renewables; $11 trillion to build the factories, batteries and
infrastructure necessary for a widespread switch to electric vehicles; $2.5
trillion for carbon capture and storage; $20 trillion to provide clean hydrogen
fuel for power, cars and other industries, and $2.7 trillion for biofuels. The
article goes on to highlight the investment opportunities presented by these
challenges by recommending various big companies expected to lead the
transition, including Exxon, Chevron, BP, General Electric, Shell and
similar corporate giants – many of them the very companies blamed by Green New
Deal advocates for the crisis.
A Truly Green New Deal
There is a much cheaper and
faster way to sequester carbon from the atmosphere that doesn’t rely on these
corporate giants to transition us to 100% renewables. Additionally, it can be
done while at the same time reducing the chronic diseases that impose an even
heavier cost on citizens and governments. Our most powerful partner is nature
itself, which over hundreds of millions of years has evolved the most efficient
carbon sequestration system on the planet. As David
Perry writes on the World Economic Forum website:
This solution leverages a
natural process that every plant undergoes, powered by a source that is always
available, costs little to nothing to run and does not cause further pollution.
This power source is the sun, and the process is photosynthesis.
A plant takes carbon dioxide
out of the air and, with the help of sunlight and water, converts it to sugars.
Every bit of that plant – stems, leaves, roots – is made from carbon that was
once in our atmosphere. Some of this carbon goes into the soil as roots. The
roots, then, release sugars to feed soil microbes. These microbes perform their
own chemical processes to convert carbon into even more stable forms.
Perry observes that before
farmland was cultivated, it had soil carbon levels of from 3% to 7%. Today,
those levels are roughly 1% carbon. If every acre of farmland globally were
returned to a soil carbon level of just 3%, 1 trillion tons of carbon dioxide
would be removed from the atmosphere and stored in the soil – equal to the
amount of carbon that has been drawn into the atmosphere since the dawn of the
Industrial Revolution 200 years ago. The size of the potential solution matches
the size of the problem.
So how can we increase the
carbon content of soil? Through “regenerative” farming practices, says Perry,
including planting cover crops, no-till farming, rotating crops, reducing
chemicals and fertilizers, and managed grazing (combining trees, forage plants
and livestock together as an integrated system, a technique called
“silvopasture”). These practices have been demonstrated to drive carbon into
the soil and keep it there, resulting in carbon-enriched soils that are
healthier and more resilient to extreme weather conditions and show improved
water permeability, preventing the rainwater runoff that contributes to rising
sea levels and rising temperatures. Evaporation from degraded, exposed soil has
been shown to cause 1,600%
more heat annually than all the world’s powerhouses combined.
Regenerative farming methods also produce increased microbial diversity, higher
yields, reduced input requirements, more nutritious harvests and increased farm
profits.
These highly favorable results
were confirmed by Paul Hawken and his team in the project that was the subject
of his best-selling 2016 book, “Drawdown:
The Most Comprehensive Plan Ever Proposed to Reverse Global Warming.” The
project involved evaluating the 100 most promising solutions to the
environmental crisis for cost and effectiveness. The results surprised the
researchers themselves. The best-performing sector was not “Transport” or
“Materials” or “Buildings and Cities” or even “Electricity Generation.” It was
the sector called “Food,” including how we grow our food, market it and use it.
Of the top 30 solutions, 12 were various forms of regenerative agriculture, including
silvopasture, tropical staple trees, conservation agriculture, tree
intercropping, managed grazing, farmland restoration and multistrata
agroforestry.
How to Fund It All
If regenerative farming
increases farmers’ bottom lines, why aren’t they already doing it? For one
thing, the benefits of the approach are not well known. But even if they were,
farmers would have a hard time making the switch. As noted in a Rolling Stone
article titled “How
Big Agriculture Is Preventing Farmers From Combating the Climate Crisis”:
[I]implementing these
practices requires an economic flexibility most farmers don’t have, and which is
almost impossible to achieve within a government-backed system designed to
preserve a large-scale, corporate-farming monoculture based around commodity
crops like corn and soybeans, which often cost smaller farmers more money to
grow than they can make selling.
Farmers
are locked into a system that is destroying their farmlands and the
planet, because a handful of giant agribusinesses have captured Congress and
the regulators. One proposed solution is to transfer
the $20 billion in subsidies that now go mainly to Big Ag into a fund
to compensate small farmers who transition to regenerative practices. We also
need to enforce the antitrust laws and break up the biggest agribusinesses,
something for which legislation
is now pending in Congress.
At the grassroots level, we
can vote with our pocketbooks by demanding truly nutritious foods. New
technology is in development that can help with this grassroots approach by
validating how nutrient-dense our foods really are. One such device, developed
by Dan Kittredge and team, is a hand-held consumer spectrometer called a Bionutrient
Meter, which tests nutrient density at point of purchase. The goal is to
bring transparency to the marketplace, empowering consumers to choose their
foods based on demonstrated nutrient quality, providing economic incentives to
growers and grocers to drive regenerative practices across the system. Other
new technology measures
nutrient density in the soil, allowing farmers to be compensated in
proportion to their verified success in carbon sequestration and soil
regeneration.
Granted, $20 billion is
unlikely to be enough to finance the critically needed transition from
destructive to regenerative agriculture, but Congress can supplement this fund
by tapping the deep pocket of the central bank. In the last decade, the Fed has
demonstrated that its pool of financial liquidity is potentially limitless, but
the chief beneficiaries of its largess have been big banks and their wealthy
clients. We need a form of quantitative easing that actually serves the local
productive economy. That might require modifying the Federal
Reserve Act, but Congress has modified it before. The only real limit on
new money creation is consumer price inflation, and there is room for a great
deal more money to be pumped into the productive local economy before that
ceiling is hit than is circulating in it now. For a detailed analysis of this
issue, see my earlier articles here and here and
latest book, “Banking
on the People.”
The bottom line is that saving
the planet from environmental destruction is not only achievable, but that by
focusing on regenerative agriculture and tapping up the central bank for
funding, the climate crisis can be addressed without raising taxes and while
restoring our collective health.
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